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Delayed and disorderly transition

Published:
25 September 2025

Challenges to remaining within a 2°C carbon budget

Carbon emissions have continued to rise. The longer the energy system remains on its current pathway, the harder it will be to remain within a 2°C carbon budget.

Delaying the energy transition could lead to a costly and disorderly adjustment pathway

If the move to a faster decarbonization pathway is delayed beyond the early 2030s, it would be increasingly difficult to meet a 2°C carbon budget without incurring a costly and disorderly transition.

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